Thread: Sox 2007 Draft
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Old 06-07-2007, 10:53 PM   #20 (permalink)
jacksonianmarch
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Default Re: Sox 2007 Draft

Quote:
Originally Posted by example1 View Post
Apparently they weren't the only ones who passed on Harvey. They must have disliked something about him.

How does this draft in terms of college vs. HS players. It is a pretty widely held opinion that the Moneyball approach of choosing college players is--as you likely know--seen as beneficial because 1) college players have a more thorough statistical track record against better competition (which is beneficial when trying to 'mine' statistics for high OBP/good plate control guys) and 2) they were undervalued.

I think 1) is still true. I think 2) is questionable as it trends the other direction. There are certain HS guys who truly better than some of their college counterparts but who would have been swept up for early-round money in years past.

I don't think the college thing is as hard-and-fast as it is often portrayed, just like I don't think the moneyball thing is always about going extremely cheap or for OBP over every other stat. I think its about finding the undervalued-value wherever it may lay at the time.

In terms of Harvey, the only thing that precluded him was the fact that he was a Boras client and he was asking for 8 mil and a MLB contract. I seriously thought the yankees or the sox could have met the monetary demands and kept him off the MLB contract.
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