Re: Johan Santana or Dan Haren?
I personally don't think the Sox are going to trade anyone other than Coco this offseason and I think that has alot to do with Dice-K and his potential. If Dice-K develops like Beckett, than their rotation is considerably more formidable and Santana may win you 20 games this year but Buchholz/Lester are probably going to win you 20-30 and the Twins are asking for position players if you also take into consideration the fact that the type of package that the Twins are asking for (rightfully) is not a Josh Beckett package with one player that is the centerpiece they're asking for two or three major league ready players who are key contributors - so whatever benefit you gain by giving the ball to Santana every fifth day will be offset by the decreased production in the lineup the other 4 or 5 games a week so its a lot harder to pull the trigger but that being said I think you're looking at Ellsbury / Lester / +1 for Santana which I would probably do because Santana-Beckett-Dice-K-Buccholz would be impossible and Ryan Kalish is in the pipeline and projects similarly to Ellsbury. I think Haren could be had for Lester / Crisp / Lowrie / Masterson which I also make. But I think the Sox are going to play it safe and hit the market next year if need be.
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