Re: Sox, Colon reach minor league deal
2008 PECOTA had him as a mediocre but MLB-caliber starting pitcher, with a 44% chance that he'd turn out to be better than that and a 24% chance that he'd be a whole lot better.
An extra 24% chance that we've just signed the old Bartolo Colon to help if needed without encumbering our 40-man roster is almost too good to be true. Great, great move by the FO.
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