Quote:
Originally Posted by Jayhawk Bill
I think that the issue is that, for most intents and purposes, Boston just can't seem to win without scoring five or more runs.
Record scoring 0-4 runs: 2-10
Record scoring 5-12 runs: 13-2
Driving the point home:
Record scoring 3-4 runs: 1-4
Boston has four good starting pitchers and an adequate fifth starter (Lester, who is leading in games started due to minor injuries and flu-like symptoms for others). Only Matsuzaka has an ERA below 4.00, though. The rest of the starters are allowing their share of runs...and Dice-K needs relief help by the 6th or 7th inning in every start.
Baltimore is 4-9 scoring four or fewer runs. New York is 5-8. Tampa Bay is only 2-7, but that's still better than 2-10. Toronto is only 2-13, but they're in the cellar, too...that's not the winning formula.
I'm suspecting that Boston's performance in low-scoring games is more than bad luck...the pitching (and Terry Francona) need too many runs to hold a win.
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The Yankees had a problem like that last yr. We were 6-36 when we scored 3 runs or less. This yr, we have already won 4 games when scoring 3 runs or less. I think alot of that has to do with luck and with pen management.