Quote:
Originally Posted by jacksonianmarch
and you lead us by three games.
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This year's installment of the loss-column debate:
It's 4. Supposing the Yankees are a .600 team (a 97 win team) here's the probability breakdown....
| Game 1 | Game 2 | Prob |
| Win | Win | 0.36 |
| Lose | Win | 0.24 |
| Win | Lose | 0.24 |
| Lose | Lose | 0.16 |
36% of the time you will be 3 back, 48% of the time you will be 4 back, 16% of the time you will be 5 back after catching up in games played.
Yes, I know this is not written in stone, the games have to be played, pitching matchup matter, blah, blah, blah.
Point is, it is folly to count them as wins, which is what you do when you ignore the win column as well.
Think about that.