Quote:
Originally Posted by Jayhawk Bill
BP hasn't adjusted ELO standings yet this morning. Here are yesterday's:
| AL East | W | L | Relative Strength | Proj Wins | Proj Losses | Champions (%) | Wild Card (%) | Playoffs (%) | | Red Sox | 26 | 19 | 1545 | 91 | 71 | 52 | 15 | 67 | | Rays | 25 | 18 | 1505 | 84 | 78 | 16 | 14 | 30 | | Orioles | 23 | 19 | 1488 | 79 | 83 | 7 | 7 | 14 | | Blue Jays | 22 | 23 | 1513 | 82 | 80 | 11 | 10 | 21 | | Yankees | 20 | 23 | 1524 | 83 | 79 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
Note that the Yankees are the second-best team in the AL East by BP's reckoning on the ELO method with a 1524 in the relative strength column. ELO considers the current winning or losing streak in conjunction with the pattern of past performance, including 2007 at an appropriately discounted rate. Unlike other systems, ELO essentially includes credit for the front office's history regarding late-season moves.
A six-game deficit is significant but not overwhelming. The Yankees are a championship-caliber team off to a bad start. They will still contend in the AL East, and they certainly might prevail.
It is far too early for either panic or hubris. |
I'm not panicking yet, but just the way my tea i splaying is embarrassing to me. Hanging out with oneof my best friends last night who's a Met fan was horrible. I know this team's capabilities, they just need to play to their full potential.