Quote:
Originally Posted by Jayhawk Bill
Dude, read the posts. I've been on your side.
I'm not joking: the Yankees' biggest asset is their revenue base. The Yankees probably have the ability to sustain a $300 million payroll, if one considers the hidden revenue of the YES Network in the profit and loss statement. If they choose to do so, the Yankees can pick up any high-priced veterans from non-contending teams whom they might need: Greg Maddux, Bengie Molina, Omar Vizquel, Ray Durham, Todd Helton, Matt Holliday, Garrett Atkins and Brad Hawpe might all be available for a price, with each of their teams already ten or more games back.
But when you write,
Who knows whats gonna happen, but I think you guys writing them off this early is as asinine as you guys think my statement is. Fact of the matter is that while they have experienced early struggles, and bad ones, this team, with the roster, payroll, experience, and attitude they have are bound to snap out of it.
you're dead wrong. As constructed, this Yankees team will not reach the playoffs.
I prefer to quote the BP Playoff Odds using ELO because it reflects the strength of the Front Office to adapt. A different report shows the odds and projected outcomes based strictly upon this season's performances. Here's that report:
| AL East | W | L | True W/L Pct | Avg W | Avg L | Champions | Wild Card | Playoffs | | Red Sox | 29 | 19 | 0.579 | 94 | 68 | 54.8 | 22.5 | 77.3 | | Rays | 27 | 19 | 0.555 | 90 | 72 | 29.9 | 28.6 | 58.5 | | Blue Jays | 23 | 24 | 0.532 | 83 | 79 | 8.1 | 13.9 | 22.1 | | Orioles | 24 | 20 | 0.491 | 81 | 82 | 4.8 | 8.8 | 13.6 | | Yankees | 20 | 25 | 0.500 | 78 | 84 | 2.3 | 5.2 | 7.5 |
Based upon what they're actually doing this season, the Yankees are the fifth-best team in a five-team division. It's not just that they have to overtake the Red Sox; it's that they have to prove that they're better than the freaking Baltimore Orioles. If Boston were to fold due to, oh, I don't know, distraction from Hollywood when they start making The Jon Lester Story, the Rays would still be demonstrably better. The Blue Jays are right behind the Rays. Even the Orioles are better than the Yankees, although it's close.
"Fact of the matter is?" Fact of the matter is that the Yankees suck. Keep insultingly misrepresenting me in your posts and the gloves come off, kid.
Your hope is that Hank Steinbrenner and Brian Cashman will buy your team back into contention. As constructed, your team will not win.
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I misinterpreted your post, I thought those responses of
"Humungous Media Market!
Gargantuan Payroll!
Absurdly high revenues!" were meant sarcastically. You insinuating that I "insult" you is absurd, as of all the members on this board your opinion is one that I respect most. And what from my post did you take as an insult? I thought you were being sarcastic, so all I said was that despite what u guys think, the Yankees are not done. And despite what your BP report says, I prefer to let the games play out on the FIELD rather than in some Baseball Prospectus writer/stat geek's boring thoughts. The season is still early, and before we draw conclusions that teams like the Yankees and Tigers suck while teams like the Orioles and A's are favorites let's see it done over a consistent length of time. Lets play 75-80 and see where things stand before we etch the season in stone. What it comes down to is who can play the best ball over the course of
162 games. Say what you want about all the other aspects; coaching/managing, offensive woes, pitching problems, injuries, etc., frankly there is too much talent on the Yankee roster to be this bad ALL year. Every year when we get off to a bad start fans of opposing teams throw their hands up in jubilation and count us out; (maybe not you because you're not that ignorant) but we're always there in the end.
And so what if we need to make a move. Maybe we don't, but if so what's the big deal? How come when the Yankees make an addition to improve the club it's "buying" players, championships, etc; but when other teams make a move at the deadline to bolster their rotation, or lineup, or bullpen they're just going out and bettering themselves? How come the 29 other teams can make trades and acquisitions but if the Yankees doit it's a devilish act of greed? Logic? And if a move is made and we do make a run, it's not just because of that player, but because the TEAM played well. Sure the addition may help, but he doesn't play every position, so
fact of the matter still remains that the experience, talent, and attitude of the Yankees is what will determine how they end up, not some player that we bring in to "buy our way back into contention."