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Old 05-12-2008, 10:15 PM   #106 (permalink)
a700hitter
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Default Re: 5/12 @ Minnesota Twins

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Originally Posted by soxfan17881 View Post
The way the middle guys are going, it seems like a "pick your poison" sort of deal, though, doesn't it?
You may not know what you are going to get from the pen, but the last two nights it was pretty obvious that the starters didn't have it. If the middle guys give up a couple of runs, they will give those runs up whether they come in after the 3rd or the 4th innings. In that extra 1/3, 2/3 of an inning the starter tacks on another couple of runs. If the middle guy comes in after 5 runs and stems the tide, he gives you a chance to win. If he shits the bed, well you were going to lose anyway.
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Old 05-12-2008, 10:15 PM   #107 (permalink)
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Default Re: 5/12 @ Minnesota Twins

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Originally Posted by The Dustball View Post
I just hope that Clay is OK. It is uncharacterisitc of him to give up 5 walks in one game. Hopefully he can work things out before his next start
Pardon my being called away from the TalkSox Board during the game.

I'll check Pitch f/x records tomorrow sometime. To my naked eye it looks as if Buchholz was screwed royally by Derryl Cousins, a guy who's been unfair to Boston in the past on occasion, IIRC. I don't know if it was a seven-run difference, but it really doesn't look good.

Edit: The data files are posted.

Name + -
Buchholz 0 10
Lopez 0 0
Hansen 0 0
Timlin 0 0
- - -
Hernandez 3 3
Rincon 1 2
Crain 1 0

Cousins called every pitch perfectly for Lopez, Hansen and Timlin. His calls for Minnesota were balanced, and every missed call was close. Cousins buttfucked Buchholz: by my quick count, Cousins had to make a call on 25 pitches that Buchholz threw through the strike zone, and he made the wrong call on 40% of them by calling them balls.

The odds of an umpire making 10 errors all in the same direction are one in 1,024. At the 99.9% confidence level, Cousins's calls weren't random chance.

We never had a chance to win this game, folks. That's the second time this season we've found something biased at the 99.9% level.

Last edited by Jayhawk Bill; 05-12-2008 at 10:35 PM.
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Old 05-12-2008, 10:44 PM   #108 (permalink)
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Default Re: 5/12 @ Minnesota Twins

Quote:
Originally Posted by Jayhawk Bill View Post
Pardon my being called away from the TalkSox Board during the game.

I'll check Pitch f/x records tomorrow sometime. To my naked eye it looks as if Buchholz was screwed royally by Derryl Cousins, a guy who's been unfair to Boston in the past on occasion, IIRC. I don't know if it was a seven-run difference, but it really doesn't look good.

Edit: The data files are posted.

Name + -
Buchholz 0 10
Lopez 0 0
Hansen 0 0
Timlin 0 0
- - -
Hernandez 3 3
Rincon 1 2
Crain 1 0

Cousins called every pitch perfectly for Lopez, Hansen and Timlin. His calls for Minnesota were balanced, and every missed call was close. Cousins buttfucked Buchholz: by my quick count, Cousins had to make a call on 25 pitches that Buchholz threw through the strike zone, and he made the wrong call on 40% of them by calling them balls.

The odds of an umpire making 10 errors all in the same direction are one in 1,024. At the 99.9% confidence level, Cousins's calls weren't random chance.

We never had a chance to win this game, folks. That's the second time this season we've found something biased at the 99.9% level.
Wow this is absolutely ridiculous. 10 out of 25 calls were incorrect. This guy should be checked out by MLB officials. Thank you Jayhawk Bill for providing these stats, I find them to be incredibly interesting and they really give me a new outlook on some of the calls made by the Umps
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Old 05-12-2008, 10:48 PM   #109 (permalink)
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Default Re: 5/12 @ Minnesota Twins

JHB, where do you get this stuff?
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Old 05-12-2008, 10:55 PM   #110 (permalink)
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Default Re: 5/12 @ Minnesota Twins

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Originally Posted by Coco's Disciples View Post
JHB, where do you get this stuff?
http://gd2.mlb.com/components/game/mlb/
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