"Hating the Yankees like it's a religion since 94'" RIP Mike.
"It's also a simple and indisputable fact that WAR isn't the be-all end-all in valuations, especially in real life. Wanna know why? Because an ace in run-prevention for 120 innings means more often than not, a sub-standard pitcher covering for the rest of the IP that pitcher fails to provide. You can't see value in a vacuum when a player does not provide full-time production."
A 65% penalty is one issue. Also, we're loaded with kids. Time to see if they can play and reload for 2018-2019
They're at 50-60% right now. They go down below the lux tax and they'll reset
The Yankees have a projected arb payroll of $21 mil. They have $26.5 mil of retained contracts (ARod and McCann). They have $120 mil of active salary. This is after the Holliday signing. So their payroll loosely sits at $167.5 mil. I assume they will be spending about $15-$18 mil on a bullpen piece or pieces. I would also assume we add a low budget starter probably in the $10 mil range. I don't forsee any other offensive upgrades. That puts us close to the $200 mil range for 2017. But after this yr....
CC and his $25 mil
ARod and his $21 mil
Holliday and his $13 mil
Clippard and his $6 mil
will all go away. That's a further reduction of $65 mil in time for the lux tax to rise to $195 mil-ish
Then things get even more fluid after 2018 with Gardner and Headley coming off the books. That's another $25 mil in salary for guys who aren't giving great production.
Last edited by jacksonianmarch; 12-05-2016 at 08:56 AM.
Hal sucks
Exactly, which is why ARod is only $21 and not $25 mil. His year suspension dropped his AAV. Regardless, they all drop off the map after 2017
Hal sucks
Cashman isn't afraid to spend, but he was definitely forced into extending CC and ARod. Thankfully, those follies will be finished in 2017
Hal sucks
Seems like we are in fact done, as Cashman didn't get any offers he liked for Gardner or Headley. I don't think we'll win the world series, but this isn't a bad team. Obviously, I wouldn't mind if we had some good production but still dropped games and made some more great trades at the deadline. Tanaka, Pineda, and Gardner could potentially get some strong returns this summers at the deadline. Even Clippard or CC could fetch something.
CF- Gardner
2B- Castro
1B- Bird
C- Sanchez
DH- Holliday
LF- Ellsbury
RF- Judge
3B- Headley
SS- Didi
Bench - Romine, Austin, Hicks, and Refsnyder
Tanaka, Pineda, CC, Servino, Cessa
Chapman, Betances, Clippard, Heller/Holder, Sherve, Bleier, Mitchell.
I bolded some guys I could see being moved or people I'd like to see moved this year.
slav, I am intrigued to see how we perform this year. And Meh, I honestly don't think Severino wins a job out of ST. I think the kid needs to build his confidence again in AAA. Chad Green has a really strong chance to win the job out of ST if he isn't hurt. We have a lot of others guys capable of starting as well, including Jordan Montgomery and Bryan Mitchell. One thing is for sure, aside from CC and Shreve, about everyone who will take the mound for us will have power in their arm. Even Tanaka can run it up there into the mid 90s when he wants to. This is a shake out kind of year for us, and if we break right, we could be really good. I think the likelihood is that not everything shakes out well and we have a so-so non playoff season. I think our offense will be an improvement. No more forcing ABs onto two guys in power spots who put together a -2.3 WAR. Also, Sanchez for McCann looks like an improvement as well. Beltran down to Judge is a dropoff in offense alone. Who knows with the rest. I think it will be interesting to follow them. I predict this team to be on the fringes of a WC spot all year and finish about 2-3 games out by end of the season. I see another mid 80s win season, probably 84 wins
Hal sucks