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Thread: Otani to be posted

  1. #61
    Deity moonslav59's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by SCM33 View Post
    Just an honest question....

    How many of these high profile, high posting fee japanese imports have we seen that were actually worth it?

    -Dice-K was a clown for all the hype. Gyroball????? Give me a break
    -Hideki Matsui had the hype of their version of Babe Ruth, but was nothing more than a .280 hitter with doubles power.
    -Yu Darvish is hardly what was originally expected.
    -Kaz Matsui was a shortstop that couldn't play shortstop
    -Hideki Irabu was their version of Nolan Ryan. I don't need to comment further.
    -Kei Igawa, nice sunglasses......awful
    -Sang Lee (Redsox).....lol
    -Robinson Checo (Redsox).....lol

    The only players to have real success are Ichiro, Hideo Nomo, and in some respect....Chan Ho Park.

    Koji, Saito and Hasegawa had some success, but it was short lived, and they were nothing more than relief pitchers/short term closers.

    Why do we continue to hype the Japanese imports.......who are putting up big numbers....at a AA Pro baseball level?
    Uehara has many good or great season. He's pitched in MLB for 9 years and never had a WHIP above 1.163 after his rookie year (which was 1.245).
    7 straight seasons under 0.957 and 5 straight under 0.917. He might have the lowest all time 3 year WHIP stretch:
    2011: 0.723
    2012: 0.639
    2013: 0.565 with Boston

    Okajima did well for us for several years.

    What about ...

    Hiroki Kuroda (awesome career from ages 33-39- never had an ERA above 3.76)

    Hisashi Iwakuma (Pretty good for a guy starting in MLB at age 31)

    Yu Darvish (Watch what he makes with his next contract)

    Tmo Ohka (pretty good 4 year stretch)


  2. #62
    Deity Bellhorn04's Avatar
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    How the heck did both of you leave out Tanaka?

  3. #63
    Resident Old Fart Spudboy's Avatar
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    SCM33's overall point if expanded to include the International pool makes sense to me.

    I don't see any logic is signing a high priced player from another country that has not played MLB ball. At best you get someone like that clown in rt field for the Dodgers. Or The idiot that we got from the A's for our best pitcher.

    Then we get guys like Castillo who have not played ball for almost two years, have never played at a high level ( unless you consider a few international games "high" ), and has not had access to really good coaching and facilities in which to train.

    Chasing these stiffs is a waste of time and produces very few true star quality MLB players.
    "Hating the Yankees like it's a religion since 94'" RIP Mike.


    "It's also a simple and indisputable fact that WAR isn't the be-all end-all in valuations, especially in real life. Wanna know why? Because an ace in run-prevention for 120 innings means more often than not, a sub-standard pitcher covering for the rest of the IP that pitcher fails to provide. You can't see value in a vacuum when a player does not provide full-time production."

  4. #64
    Spud, Japanese players are a bit different than Cuban. They have the best nutrition available as well as the best strengthening and workout regimens. These guys aren't stiffs. The Cuban guys are the ones having to deal with substandard situations AND delays in PT due to defection. Theyre a bit more suspect since the time off can really screw them up.

    In terms of the best Japanese talent, we also need to remember that the shelf like had been short because a lot of these guys are hitting the majors in their late 20s. They adjust, make a name for themselves and then fall off the map. While the perception is that they fade quickly, they are actually fading around the time you would expect (around age 34 or so). Otani is a talent like no other. He can top out at 101 mph. By all accounts had two plus secondary pitches. As a hitter, he has plus power and patience. He has the skills to hit for a high average. He is a rare beast for sure
    Hal sucks

  5. #65
    TalkSox Ascended Master mvp 78's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by jacksonianmarch View Post
    Spud, Japanese players are a bit different than Cuban. They have the best nutrition available as well as the best strengthening and workout regimens. These guys aren't stiffs. The Cuban guys are the ones having to deal with substandard situations AND delays in PT due to defection. Theyre a bit more suspect since the time off can really screw them up.

    In terms of the best Japanese talent, we also need to remember that the shelf like had been short because a lot of these guys are hitting the majors in their late 20s. They adjust, make a name for themselves and then fall off the map. While the perception is that they fade quickly, they are actually fading around the time you would expect (around age 34 or so). Otani is a talent like no other. He can top out at 101 mph. By all accounts had two plus secondary pitches. As a hitter, he has plus power and patience. He has the skills to hit for a high average. He is a rare beast for sure
    Let me tell you the tale of the gyro ball.
    Quote Originally Posted by moonslav59 View Post
    ( I won't say the "C word.")

  6. #66
    Deity Bellhorn04's Avatar
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    Dice-K was pretty good in 2007 and 2008, got injured in 2009.

  7. #67
    TalkSox Ascended Master mvp 78's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bellhorn04 View Post
    Dice-K was pretty good in 2007 and 2008, got injured in 2009.
    I agree. He was pretty good, but not really worth what the Sox spent.
    Quote Originally Posted by moonslav59 View Post
    ( I won't say the "C word.")

  8. #68
    Resident Old Fart Spudboy's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by jacksonianmarch View Post
    Spud, Japanese players are a bit different than Cuban. They have the best nutrition available as well as the best strengthening and workout regimens. These guys aren't stiffs. The Cuban guys are the ones having to deal with substandard situations AND delays in PT due to defection. Theyre a bit more suspect since the time off can really screw them up.

    In terms of the best Japanese talent, we also need to remember that the shelf like had been short because a lot of these guys are hitting the majors in their late 20s. They adjust, make a name for themselves and then fall off the map. While the perception is that they fade quickly, they are actually fading around the time you would expect (around age 34 or so). Otani is a talent like no other. He can top out at 101 mph. By all accounts had two plus secondary pitches. As a hitter, he has plus power and patience. He has the skills to hit for a high average. He is a rare beast for sure
    Legit points Doc but I am still not a fan of over paying, especially when that player remains unproven against the best talent in the world which is MLB.
    "Hating the Yankees like it's a religion since 94'" RIP Mike.


    "It's also a simple and indisputable fact that WAR isn't the be-all end-all in valuations, especially in real life. Wanna know why? Because an ace in run-prevention for 120 innings means more often than not, a sub-standard pitcher covering for the rest of the IP that pitcher fails to provide. You can't see value in a vacuum when a player does not provide full-time production."

  9. #69
    Resident Old Fart Spudboy's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by mvp 78 View Post
    I agree. He was pretty good, but not really worth what the Sox spent.
    And I am not against signing international talent at all. As long as the player can prove he is a fit before big money is thrown at him. Treat him like any other prospect and don't get a giant boner for every hyped foreign player that becomes available.
    "Hating the Yankees like it's a religion since 94'" RIP Mike.


    "It's also a simple and indisputable fact that WAR isn't the be-all end-all in valuations, especially in real life. Wanna know why? Because an ace in run-prevention for 120 innings means more often than not, a sub-standard pitcher covering for the rest of the IP that pitcher fails to provide. You can't see value in a vacuum when a player does not provide full-time production."

  10. #70
    Quote Originally Posted by Spudboy View Post
    Legit points Doc but I am still not a fan of over paying, especially when that player remains unproven against the best talent in the world which is MLB.
    In this case, there is no overpaying. If Ohtani signs in NY, the Yankees will shell out $20 mil for posting (not against the lux tax), $3.45 mil to sign him and then they get him at league minimum for 3 seasons before he enters the arbitration process. The arb process isn't guaranteed as a team can non-tender a player. So a team like NYY shells out $25.1 mil to acquire and control him for 3 seasons and during those 3 seasons, the only thing to hit the lux tax is the $550K per year for league minimum. It is an absolute homerun. Whomever he signs with will be very happy no matter the outcome
    Hal sucks

  11. #71
    Legend SCM33's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bellhorn04 View Post
    Dice-K was pretty good in 2007 and 2008, got injured in 2009.
    I think what you meant was......Dice-L was pretty lucky, ESPECIALLY in 2008 before he got injured. His 2008 season was one of the biggest flukes in Sox team history. He was garbage. You take that 2008 season out, and he was pretty awful considering the posting fee + contract.

  12. #72
    Deity moonslav59's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by jacksonianmarch View Post
    In this case, there is no overpaying. If Ohtani signs in NY, the Yankees will shell out $20 mil for posting (not against the lux tax), $3.45 mil to sign him and then they get him at league minimum for 3 seasons before he enters the arbitration process. The arb process isn't guaranteed as a team can non-tender a player. So a team like NYY shells out $25.1 mil to acquire and control him for 3 seasons and during those 3 seasons, the only thing to hit the lux tax is the $550K per year for league minimum. It is an absolute homerun. Whomever he signs with will be very happy no matter the outcome
    Agreed. The risk is not that high.

    The rewards could be very nice.

  13. #73
    Yanks out on ohtani

  14. #74
    Deity moonslav59's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by jacksonianmarch View Post
    Yanks out on ohtani
    I hope you are right.

  15. #75
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    That brings a smile to my face.

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