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Thread: A Realistic View at 2018: Part II

  1. #736
    Quote Originally Posted by moonslav59 View Post
    Sox OPS leaders

    1.238 Lin (14 PAs)
    1.111 XB
    1.059 Betts
    .955 HRam
    .844 Swihart (10 PAs)
    .829 Beni
    .824 JMart
    .814 Nunez
    .811 Moreland (30 PAs)
    .721 Devers
    .552 JBJ
    .510 Holt (29 PAs)
    .512 Vaz
    .333 Leon (18 PAs)

    We have 7 guys with 9 or more rbi:
    15 HRam
    13 JMart
    10 Betts & Devers
    9 XB & Beni
    (61 MLB players have 9 or more rbis- we have 7 of them! BTW, AGon has 9 rbi.)


    14 by all the rest combined (Nunez with 6)

    WHIP
    0.76 Porcello
    0.86 Kimbrel
    0.95 Sale
    1.00 Price & Hembree
    1.20 Kelly
    1.24 Velazquez
    1.29 Poyner
    1.30 Johnson
    1.33 Walden
    1.35 Barnes
    1.49 ERod
    2.14 Smith

    ERA-
    0 Kimbrel
    29 Sale
    44 Porcello
    57 Price
    61 Poyner
    65 Johnson
    79 Velazquez
    89 ERod
    97 Barnes
    108 Hembree
    119 Walden
    129 Kelly
    184 Smith

    Team Leaders in ERA-
    70 BOS & HOU
    71 NYM
    76 CLE
    77 MN
    81 AZ
    ...24th NYY at 117

    Runs scored
    103 LAA
    89 BOS
    87 Pitt
    ...7th NYY at 77

    Sox are 3rd in team OPS at .795, while NYY are 7th at .755.

    We're 23rd in HRs, but nobody seems to care about that anymore.

    Right now their 22.9% line drive rate would have been 2nd in the majors over a full season last year. It does seem they are hitting the ball harder. Ultimately this is all sample size and some close game luck. But it's still cool - and it's money in the bank.

  2. #737
    Lin = Balco
    other names i have posted under: none

  3. #738
    Quote Originally Posted by moonslav59 View Post
    Makes you wonder, if Lin is some sort of superman.

    .802 career MLB OPS in 80 PAs.

    .627 AAA (162 PAs)

    .635 AA (789 PAs)

    Of course, the small sample size explains it, but he looks like he has a nice swing.
    Maybe with Lin, his improvement is for real?

    Red Sox Stats
    ‏ @redsoxstats
    23m23 minutes ago

    Tzu-Wei Lin started hitting the ball in the air last year and became a legit prospect. Air 2015-18: 39%, 39%, 52%, 11 of 14 (79%)

    19 of his 50 statcast batted balls the last 2 years have been hit 95+ mph. Same as Betts and Moreland, better than Benintendi, Bogaerts, etc.

  4. #739
    I wonder what our starting lineup will be against Otani? I hope Betts and Nunez will be available and Vaz will catch. My guess is we will start:

    Betts
    Beni
    Hanley
    JDM
    Devers
    Nunez
    Vaz
    Lin
    JBJ

    With Otani throwing 100 mph and also with a nasty breaking pitch it will challenge our guys. Look forward to the match, but being on the west coast, it probably won't be televised even though it is the most interesting game with the two American League teams with the best records.

  5. #740
    Quote Originally Posted by oldtimer View Post
    I wonder what our starting lineup will be against Otani? I hope Betts and Nunez will be available and Vaz will catch. My guess is we will start:

    Betts
    Beni
    Hanley
    JDM
    Devers
    Nunez
    Vaz
    Lin
    JBJ

    With Otani throwing 100 mph and also with a nasty breaking pitch it will challenge our guys. Look forward to the match, but being on the west coast, it probably won't be televised even though it is the most interesting game with the two American League teams with the best records.
    Agree: pretty tough combo, which is exactly what has made Kimbrel so effective. Not a bad lineup. The mlb channel will carry one of two games--depending on what market you are closest to--tomorrow night late. One is us at LA, and the other is Houston at Seattle.

  6. #741
    Quote Originally Posted by Kimmi View Post
    Maybe with Lin, his improvement is for real?

    Red Sox Stats
    ‏ @redsoxstats
    23m23 minutes ago

    Tzu-Wei Lin started hitting the ball in the air last year and became a legit prospect. Air 2015-18: 39%, 39%, 52%, 11 of 14 (79%)

    19 of his 50 statcast batted balls the last 2 years have been hit 95+ mph. Same as Betts and Moreland, better than Benintendi, Bogaerts, etc.
    Oh yes. Lets forget that he batted .118 in hist last 10 games of MLB in 2017.

    I get that many here hate Holt and are just overjoyed that Lin has come up and immediately hit well. It all fits so well with the euphoria of a 13-2 start.

    I hope that the kid continues to do well but I am not convinced that he has a MLB bat. Not yet, anyway.
    "Hating the Yankees like it's a religion since 94'" RIP Mike.


    "It's also a simple and indisputable fact that WAR isn't the be-all end-all in valuations, especially in real life. Wanna know why? Because an ace in run-prevention for 120 innings means more often than not, a sub-standard pitcher covering for the rest of the IP that pitcher fails to provide. You can't see value in a vacuum when a player does not provide full-time production."

  7. #742
    Team records vs Sox and vs rest of the league:

    Miami vs BOS 0-2
    Miami vs rest 4-9

    TBR vs BOS 1-6
    TBR vs rest 2-6

    BAL vs BOS 0-3
    BAL vs rest 5-8

    NYY vs BOS 1-2
    NYY vs rest 6-5

  8. #743
    Quote Originally Posted by moonslav59 View Post
    Team records vs Sox and vs rest of the league:

    Miami vs BOS 0-2
    Miami vs rest 4-9

    TBR vs BOS 1-6
    TBR vs rest 2-6

    BAL vs BOS 0-3
    BAL vs rest 5-8

    NYY vs BOS 1-2
    NYY vs rest 6-5
    Nicely done.

  9. #744
    Quote Originally Posted by Maxbialystock View Post
    Nicely done.
    .378 winning % vs everyone else.
    .133 winning % vs Sox

  10. #745
    Best records in MLB, so far....

    .867 BOS 13-2
    .857 NYM 12-2
    .812 LAA 13-3

    .733 AZ 11-4
    .733 PIT 11-4

    .643 PHI 9-5
    .643 TOR 9-5
    .636 MN 7-4
    .625 HOU 10-6
    .615 SEA 8-5

    T15th - 17th NYY at .500 and 7-7

  11. #746
    I see there are three teams over .800 and five teams over .725. Is this unusual at the beginning of the season, or do I just not usually pay close attention to other divisions this early in the year?
    It's a mere moment in a man's life between the All-Star game and the Old Timer's game.
    -Vin Scully

  12. #747
    Quote Originally Posted by Spudboy View Post
    Oh yes. Lets forget that he batted .118 in hist last 10 games of MLB in 2017.

    I get that many here hate Holt and are just overjoyed that Lin has come up and immediately hit well. It all fits so well with the euphoria of a 13-2 start.

    I hope that the kid continues to do well but I am not convinced that he has a MLB bat. Not yet, anyway.
    And Holt does.

  13. #748
    Quote Originally Posted by moonslav59 View Post
    Best records in MLB, so far....

    .867 BOS 13-2
    .857 NYM 12-2
    .812 LAA 13-3

    .733 AZ 11-4
    .733 PIT 11-4

    .643 PHI 9-5
    .643 TOR 9-5
    .636 MN 7-4
    .625 HOU 10-6
    .615 SEA 8-5

    T15th - 17th NYY at .500 and 7-7
    Yanks are 8-7, no?

  14. #749
    Quote Originally Posted by Hitch View Post
    Yanks are 8-7, no?
    I guess Baseball Reference has been slow to update.

  15. #750
    Quote Originally Posted by oldtimer View Post
    And Holt does.
    Holt's career OPS is .687. It was over .700 in 2014, 2015, and 2016 and .548 last year in 64 games and 140 at bats. This year it's .518 in 9 games and 24 at bats. His WAR this year is -.4.

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