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Thread: A deep, interesting conversation

  1. #1
    All-Star
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    Apr 2004
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    Allrighty, Cedarites and I just finished an intense conversation about baseball and the final four and Milton Bradley, and then it shifted to El Guapo and then to Gagne...Here's some stuff that we talked about, we need some other opinions cause I'm now at a loss for words.

    CalvnHobs6 (6:19:18 PM): man he (EL GUAPO) was sick, 7.8 k/9 innings, opp. ba was .227 his whip was 1.33
    dandemon (6:19:52 PM): in 02?
    CalvnHobs6 (6:19:58 PM): career
    dandemon (6:20:08 PM): the whip isn't so great
    dandemon (6:20:11 PM): the rest is though
    CalvnHobs6 (6:20:30 PM): 1.33 is half decent, i guess not for a reliever tho
    dandemon (6:20:45 PM): yeah look at timlin for instance
    dandemon (6:20:47 PM): i'm guessing it's lower
    dandemon (6:21:59 PM): yeah he's 1.03
    dandemon (6:22:07 PM): well last year
    dandemon (6:22:12 PM): actually 1.26 career
    dandemon (6:22:15 PM): even that's not so great
    CalvnHobs6 (6:22:27 PM): well, actually that's decent
    dandemon (6:22:36 PM): it's not so bad you're right
    CalvnHobs6 (6:22:45 PM): 1.03 is good for #2
    dandemon (6:22:47 PM): singles season it isn't great though, the 1.03 is awesome
    CalvnHobs6 (6:22:57 PM): he'd be in second place if he was a qualified leader
    dandemon (6:23:15 PM): that's why schmidt should have won the nl cy young
    dandemon (6:23:19 PM): his whip was 0.95
    CalvnHobs6 (6:23:31 PM): yeah, that was pretty ridiculous
    dandemon (6:23:54 PM): of course gagne's was better at 0.69, but clearly it's much tougher as a starter
    CalvnHobs6 (6:24:07 PM): clearly, it's just that gagne was unstoppable
    CalvnHobs6 (6:24:13 PM): like, no one could beat him
    dandemon (6:24:33 PM): except blalock haha
    CalvnHobs6 (6:24:44 PM): well, as games never count
    CalvnHobs6 (6:24:51 PM): i mean, look at gagne's stats
    CalvnHobs6 (6:25:00 PM): 1.20 era, .69 whip, 14.98 K/9
    CalvnHobs6 (6:25:10 PM): that's prolly the most impressive, the K/9 stats
    dandemon (6:25:28 PM): i think it's 37 hits in 82.1 ip
    CalvnHobs6 (6:25:33 PM): yup
    CalvnHobs6 (6:25:36 PM): only 2 hr
    dandemon (6:25:41 PM): all of it is amazing
    dandemon (6:25:49 PM): but you wonder if schmidt closed could he do the same thing
    CalvnHobs6 (6:26:04 PM): not to mention the k to walk ratio (6.85:1)
    CalvnHobs6 (6:26:09 PM): or pedro
    dandemon (6:26:14 PM): exactly
    CalvnHobs6 (6:26:25 PM): that's interesting to think about
    CalvnHobs6 (6:26:35 PM): the save is the most overrated pitching stat i think
    CalvnHobs6 (6:26:40 PM): it's just luck of the situation
    dandemon (6:26:55 PM): the most overrated
    dandemon (6:26:57 PM): hold on
    CalvnHobs6 (6:26:58 PM): which is why RBIs are overrated
    CalvnHobs6 (6:27:03 PM): you read moneyball?
    dandemon (6:27:05 PM): the most overrated is baa against
    dandemon (6:27:06 PM): yeah i did
    CalvnHobs6 (6:27:10 PM): awesome book
    dandemon (6:27:14 PM): yeah it was
    CalvnHobs6 (6:27:23 PM): i polished it off in about a day
    dandemon (6:27:37 PM): here's my logic about pitching, if ops is such a valuable tool to evaluate hitters, why isn't ops against just as valuable for pitchers?
    CalvnHobs6 (6:27:58 PM): hey, post some of the stuff you've been bringing up
    CalvnHobs6 (6:28:02 PM): it's deeeep
    dandemon (6:28:07 PM): haha not really
    dandemon (6:28:10 PM): just stuff i think about
    CalvnHobs6 (6:28:25 PM): but that is really good logic
    CalvnHobs6 (6:28:46 PM): for a batter, it's how much he can get on base, for a pitcher, you want to know how much you can keep them off base
    dandemon (6:28:59 PM): exactly
    CalvnHobs6 (6:29:12 PM): people are just starting to realize that BA is insignifcant, and soon enough your logic will catch on
    dandemon (6:29:28 PM): now of course as they talk about in moneyball the only defense independent stats are k, bb, and hr, but i think ops against kinda falls into place there
    CalvnHobs6 (6:29:55 PM): mmm
    CalvnHobs6 (6:29:58 PM): i dunno about that
    CalvnHobs6 (6:30:07 PM): cause there's misplayed balls that count as hit
    CalvnHobs6 (6:30:08 PM): s
    CalvnHobs6 (6:30:14 PM): or errors
    CalvnHobs6 (6:30:23 PM): but that's addressed in moneyball too
    dandemon (6:30:30 PM): but it's the same thing for a hitter...i didn't mean ops was defense independent i didn't phrase it well
    dandemon (6:30:44 PM): i meant in terms of those stats
    CalvnHobs6 (6:30:52 PM): eventually that really cool system that they brought up will take over stats, and baseball will be an entirely different sport
    CalvnHobs6 (6:30:53 PM): oh ok
    CalvnHobs6 (6:31:24 PM): something i forgot about gagne - he used to be a started
    CalvnHobs6 (6:31:27 PM): starter*
    dandemon (6:31:33 PM): and he wasn't very successful
    CalvnHobs6 (6:31:36 PM): right
    dandemon (6:31:46 PM): and you think of smoltz and eckersley
    dandemon (6:31:55 PM): successful starters but more successful closers
    CalvnHobs6 (6:32:20 PM): right, but then there are people who are just born closers
    CalvnHobs6 (6:32:24 PM): rivera won't start
    CalvnHobs6 (6:32:28 PM): foulke won't start
    CalvnHobs6 (6:32:32 PM): they just aren't meant to
    CalvnHobs6 (6:32:44 PM): gagne wasn't ever meant to start
    dandemon (6:32:56 PM): you mean in terms of their mindsets right?
    CalvnHobs6 (6:33:06 PM): sure mindsets, or the way they know how to throw
    CalvnHobs6 (6:33:21 PM): they're not endurance type pitchers
    dandemon (6:33:29 PM): well gagne is so intense i see that
    CalvnHobs6 (6:33:31 PM): prior is bred to throw 9 innings
    CalvnHobs6 (6:33:47 PM): gagne is bred for 1-2
    dandemon (6:33:49 PM): i'm not so sure, but it's fascinating
    CalvnHobs6 (6:33:59 PM): ow, i'm getting a headachee
    CalvnHobs6 (6:34:11 PM): maybe we should just post this whole conversation on talksox.com
    dandemon (6:34:38 PM): haha go for it
    CalvnHobs6 (6:34:49 PM): we should paste it from where you said you liked milton bradley
    dandemon (6:35:07 PM): no you can cut all that out
    dandemon (6:35:08 PM): start with whip
    dandemon (6:35:19 PM): where you said guapo's whip was 1.33


    And so I did.
    For those who read the whole conversation, or parts of it...any opinions?

  2. #2
    I agree, ops against would be a good stat. Thats as far as i got though.

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