Official NFL thread

[bkzwhitestrican]

Apparently advanced metrics do not like the Packers chances:

Football Outsiders DVOA odds to win the Super Bowl…

1. Chiefs: 38.2%
2. 49ers: 35.1%
3. Titans: 19.4%
4. Packers: 7.4%

[bkzwhitestrican]

If I was still a betting man, I'd drop $100 on the Pack and $50 on TN.

I'd place the odds like percentages like this:

33% SF
33% KC
23% BG
11% TN

I placed $50 on GB before the season began and got some nice 20/1 odds. I think they're currently at 17/2

[moonslav59]

I placed $50 on GB before the season began and got some nice 20/1 odds. I think they're currently at 17/2

Part of the reason GB is way below KC is that they have to play SF first. IF GB and KC win, I bet the odds are close to 50-50.

[mvp 78]

The NOPD now confirms Odell Beckham is wanted for Simple Battery. The charge stems from in incident in the LSU locker room at the dome after the Tigers won the national football championship. The Cleveland Browns and former LSU wide receiver allegedly spanked a police officer.

[moonslav59]

NFC
GB 31
SF 28

AFC
TN 24
KC 19

Super Bowl
GB 27
TN 24

[jacksonianmarch]

KC is the real McCoy. Baltimore was a run first team that used the TE and big sets to expose holes in the secondary when they crept up to stop the run. Tennessee was able to stay put on defense and contain the TE's while punching the Baltimore D in the mouth. Baltimore didn't play well from behind, Lamar choked from there and they couldn't catch up. Mahomes is a different animal. He is gonna put up 40 on Tennessee. He may not score a point in the first quarter then just bomb away. Tennessee needs to play keepaway to even come close. They cannot turn the ball over. They need to hope for some stops. They need to control the clock with Henry and score when they get to the red zone. They need to play the perfect game. I think KC and SF are destined to meet in the SB

[TylerD]

Packers and Titans super bowl. Book it. Heard it here first.

[TylerD]

Condolences packers fan.

[bkzwhitestrican]

Good season overall for the packers. Shit ending though.

[Bellhorn04]

NFC
GB 31
SF 28

AFC
TN 24
KC 19

Super Bowl
GB 27
TN 24

Good thing you're not a betting man, huh?

[Slasher9]

Vegas started the line as KC 1 point favorites. they must know something i dont as i expect KC to annihilate the niners.
was gonna bet big but now i am worried. this is a niners line.

[bkzwhitestrican]

Vegas started the line as KC 1 point favorites. they must know something i dont as i expect KC to annihilate the niners.
was gonna bet big but now i am worried. this is a niners line.

Niners have the more complete team. Chiefs have a lousy run defense, and we've seen the last two weeks what the 49ers can do running the ball. Plus the Chiefs have not faced a defense like the 49ers. If I was to bet I'd go SF.

[Slasher9]

Niners have the more complete team. Chiefs have a lousy run defense, and we've seen the last two weeks what the 49ers can do running the ball. Plus the Chiefs have not faced a defense like the 49ers. If I was to bet I'd go SF.

good points but.....did you see what KC defense just did to one of the best running backs in football this year? 69 yards.

[Bellhorn04]

good points but.....did you see what KC defense just did to one of the best running backs in football this year? 69 yards.

I like KC a lot too. I thought they might be 2.5 point favorites or something like that. It'll be interesting to see if the line moves.

[bkzwhitestrican]

good points but.....did you see what KC defense just did to one of the best running backs in football this year? 69 yards.

Yes that was pretty impressive. They were the 26th ranked run defense during the regular season so they certainly stepped up. But I don't know if that's who they really are or they just managed to put together one good game stopping the run.