You can't say in the same breath that you don't expect Lee to stay healthy one season then say that you think the most overworked starter since 2007 will hold up through a 4-year deal. Be consistent.
We miss you Mike.
Well one can easily see your point.
Lee could prove to be nothing more than a very expensive Schmoltz.
The key is not what the Sox give up for him or how much he is paid so much as it is exactly what kind of health the guy is in. It may be wishful thinking that at his age he could resume career form. On the other hand, if he is healthy he could be a reliable 6-7 inning per start guy.
I say that if the Sox trust the physicals and evaluations than it is a reasonable risk to take.
^ This. "Reasonable risk" is what i'm going for here.
We miss you Mike.
It's that 12.5 million buyout that makes Lee's contract extra scary. If he gets injured you could end up paying him 37.5 million for a year or less. From everything I've read that 12.5 million is guaranteed money. He either gets that or he gets a second year at 25 million if he reaches 200 innings and his option vests.
If he is producing, I do not see any risk for the rest of 2015 after the TD. As I said, If he is producing, I see a lot of teams pushing and offering top value. The 1000 M question would be what would the FO be willing to give up for Lee?...