In the John Henry era the Sox have won the WS three times--in 2004, 2007, and 2013. In 2004 and 2013 the Sox led MLB in runs scored. In 2007 they were 3d in the AL in scoring, but led the AL in ERA.
Does anyone seriously believe this team will lead the AL in ERA this year? I love the addition of Sale, who clearly is an ace. I think Porcello will be decent and maybe Pomeranz and ERod. But Wright looks too inconsistent and Price's ERA last year was 5.
Price had a rough start last year, but settled in nicely as the season progressed. He probably wont be worth the contract he signed, but he is still a VERY good pitcher and way more consistent and trustworthy than Wright, Erod or Pom.
Actually, I think they do have to be good in both areas. In 2013 the Sox had very good hitting, but in the playoffs the team ERA was 2.
Last edited by Maxbialystock; 04-24-2017 at 07:07 PM.
To win a championship pitching is much more important than hitting. Only three teams in 106 have won a ring with an ERA+ of less than 100 while about a third of championship teams had below average hitting. Generally though, you are right: most are upper third in both categories with pitching being much more important than hitting. I am not worried about leading the league in runs as long as our pitching is in the top 3 or 4.
Here is an interesting article on the subject:
http://www.hardballtimes.com/pitchin...championships/
Thanks for the link, very interesting reading.
For the 2013 Sox, OPS+ 113 (1st) ERA+ 109 (T4th)
For the 2007 Sox, OPS+ 107 (3rd) ERA+ 123 (1st) 2nd place was not even close at 112, Yankees finished 1st OPS+ with staggering 116, but pitching wins.
For the 2004 Sox, OPS+ 110 (3rd) ERA+ 116 (2nd)
For the 2016 Sox, OPS+ 109 (T1st) ERA+ 114 (T2nd) BUT CLEVELAND ERA+ blew away Sox at 121.
Looks to be the best indicator of success.
Last edited by Nick; 04-24-2017 at 07:48 PM.
In 2015 the Toronto Blue Jays led the American League in scoring by 127 runs but finished fifth in runs scored last year en route to another postseason berth.
http://www.baseball-reference.com/leagues/AL/2015.shtml
http://www.baseball-reference.com/leagues/AL/2016.shtml