I honestly think you are going to see your 3 division winners be well over 100 wins. The Astros and Twins could be 110 game winners just due to the absolute trash that is that division, especially if the A's and Indians don't turn it on. Some middling clubs will benefit from the tankers and should bump up their win totals, but I think we are seeing a pulling away of the top teams and the tankers, leaving a small amount of middling squads to push upwards.
Right now, the Yanks, Rays, Twins, and Astros are the top tier in the AL. The Orioles, Royals, Jays, Mariners, and Tigers are the tankers. This leaves the Red Sox, White Sox, Angels, A's, Rangers, and Indians in that middle tier. Of the middle tier, I expect the White Sox, Angels, and Rangers to end up in the 90 loss range mostly due to their abject lack of depth. This means the Red Sox, A's and Indians are the only 3 in the "middling" group that are going for it that seem to have the talent necessary to win a playoff berth. By the deadline, one of those three will fade behind the other 2 and be sellers. In my estimation, the tankers, plus the early season fakers, plus the late falling middling team will comprise the sellers in the AL. By Aug 1, I expect 9 of the 15 teams in the AL to sell off their parts to the other 6 (plus the NL) and the baseball to be played beyond Aug 1 will be abysmal 60% of the time.