7 of the 11 deals over $25M/yr x 7 are able to be judged.
5 Good: Kershaw, Scherzer, ARod1, Verlander, ARod2
2 Bad: Miggy & Price
Of the 12 deals between $20-25M that can be judged, now, I find...
3 Good
3 S-So
6 Bad
I'd say the idea that the vast majority of mega and mega long deals go bad is unfounded.