Quote Originally Posted by harmony View Post
Joe Mauer posted fWAR valued at $96.7 million in the first four years of his eight-year, $178 million contract while David Price has posted fWAR valued at $93 million in the first four years of his seven-year, $217 million contract.

One player came closer than the other to meeting his contract in the first four years.
7 of the 11 deals over $25M/yr x 7 are able to be judged.

5 Good: Kershaw, Scherzer, ARod1, Verlander, ARod2

2 Bad: Miggy & Price

Of the 12 deals between $20-25M that can be judged, now, I find...

3 Good
3 S-So
6 Bad

I'd say the idea that the vast majority of mega and mega long deals go bad is unfounded.