Most teams do not want to be the third time repeat offender. That 50% overage plus the other costs is a pretty big deterrent. I don't think any team has put themselves above the cap and stayed there for 3 straight seasons under the current CBA. The Yanks were grandfathered into the 3rd time offender and couldn't get out of it until 2017. The Dodgers took a bath on a Matt Kemp deal just to get out from under the 3rd time offender category. The Yanks got under with a youth movement. This is why I am pessimistic about my team jumping over the line for the third straight season in 2020. Nobody has done it a third time yet and if that is the deterrent, then my team is gonna have the same deficits