Originally Posted by
moonslav59
This may be the soonest I’ve ever started this yearly thread. Our 2020 team is on pace for the worst winning percentage in team history. It was not really unexpected. The cliff was real, and it is here, now. That being said, I think we have a pretty solid core to build around, and if Henry opens the checkbook, this winter, we may be able to turn this around much more quickly than many expect it might take.
Our 40 man roster is about the weakest from 20-40 as I’ve ever seen, but our farm improved a little with the Betts trade and some growth by a few of our prospects. I’m not seeing much help for 2021 from the farm, however. Most of our best prospects are 1.5 to 3+ years away.
Here is a breakdown of what we are looking at for 2021 (and beyond):
Budget in Lux Tax Dollars:
25.0 Sale
22.0 JD
20.0 Bogey
17.0 Eovaldi
16.0 Price ($ to LAD)
13.8 Pedroia
5.00 Beni
4.51 Vaz
Options:
6.25 Perez ($500K buyout)
3.0 Moreland ($500K buyout)
ARB Players (2020 pay)
8.3 ERod -last arb
3.0 Barnes -last arb
2.9 Peraza -2 arbs left
1.61 Hembree -last arb
0.90 Plawecki - 2 more
0.85 J Osich -2 more
0.70 D Covey -3 more
0.69 DEVERS -1st of 3 left
0.58 Brasier -1st of 3 left
0.57 Brice -1st of 3 left
Free Agents after 2020:
11.0 JBJ
4.25 Pillar
3.50 Workman
Cots Estimated Luxury Tax Total for 2021: $141.6M
($68.4M under the threshold).
Assuming all options are given and all arb players are kept, here is what we are looking at for 2021:
40 Man Roster
C: Vazquez, Plawecki
1B: Moreland, Chavis
2B: Peraza, Arauz, Pedroia (60 day IL)
3B: Devers, Dalbec, C Arroyo
SS: Bogaerts, Chatham, Lin
LF: Benintendi
CF: (Acquisition)/Duran is rule 5 after 2021
RF: Verdugo
DH: Martinez
SP: Sale (60 day IL), Eovaldi, ERod, Perez, Weber, Godley
SP: Mazza, Shawaryn, Hart, Stock
RP: Barnes, D Hern, Taylor, Hembree, Walden, Osich, Valdez, Brice
RP: Hall, Covey, Gonsalves, Springs
Possible Rule 5 additions: Mata, Downs, Houck, C Wong
I’d say our top priority, positional acquisitions might be:
SP (Ace)
SP (strong #3 type)
Closer
CF
RP
RP
4th OF
SP depth
Projected 26 Man Roster:
C: Vaz & Plawecki
1B: Moreland & Dalbec (Chavis traded)
2B: Peraza & Arauz
3B: Devers & Arroyo
SS: Bogey
LF: Beni
CF: _____
RF: Verdugo
DH: JD
SP: ______, Eovaldi, ERod, _____, Perez
RP: ______, Barnes, _____, DHern, Hembree, _____, Walden
Let the discussion begin...