I too believe 13 pitchers are enough until at least mid April. That leaves room for 3 utility players and if Codero starts on the IL then M Gonzalez will likely start in LF. I'd say Arroyo and Chavis are locks and I would take Duran over Arauz. When Codero returns and they go to 14 pitchers, will it be Arroyo and Gonzalez? Tough call as Chavis is hitting so well.
All fair points, Moon.
I just don't think our starting pitchers are going to be pitching very deep into the games to start the season. I think we will need a lot of innings from the pen, and the last thing we want to do is overuse our relievers early in the season.
I also have confidence in our projected bench guys to be enough.
9 pen arms of which 3 can go 3-5 IP every 3-5 days and another 3 can go 2-3 IP every 2-4 days.
Are we talking 1-3 IP by all our starters over the first 2 weeks?
Let's look at the first 12 games in 14 days and assume the starters average giving us a putrid 3 IP on average. That leaves 6 IP x 12 games in 14 days. That's 72 IP, which is a number that is likely significantly more than could ever be expected.
Let's start with the short relievers and go to longer ones. With 2 days off in the first 2 weeks, our 1 inning -mostly every other day guys, Barnes & Ottavino could both pitch in 8-9 games each. That's 17 IP from those two alone. That leaves 55 IP. Let's go to pitchers who can go 1-2 IP every other day or about 9-12 IP every 14 days. DHern, Sawamura, Taylor, Brice and Brewer/Valdez fit this profile. That's 5 pitchers x 10 IP= 50 total.That leaves 5 IP total, over 14 days, for our two long guys: Andriese & Whitlock. Together they could give 3-5 IP every 4-5 days or a total of 22-28 IP combined over those 14 days for a surplus on 17-23 innings from the pen.
I'm just not seeing us coming close to needing 9 pen arms.
If our starters are giving us 1-2 IP, we simply call up Houck or Valdez/Brewer or activate Brasier.
Last edited by moonslav59; 03-24-2021 at 07:20 PM.
When you say it's gonna happen now
When exactly do you mean?