The top 8 in the AL are pretty much secure with just the order in question. The Indians have a 4 game lead on the Mariners for the 8th spot with 11 games to go. Needless to say, it is probably over. The alignment and the first round really make this thing bonkers. Any team with a lights out top 2 in their rotation can upset a higher seed. And it is setting up to have a massive impact in the 1-8 matchup. The Indians are scuffling, but their rotation is not the reason. Shane Bieber has been the Cy Young award winner. Plesac is back after being a dickwaffle and breaking quarantine. He has been right there with Bieber as a lights out starter. The 3 and 4 is Carrasco and Civale, all who would be a 1 on many teams. Cleveland is not the team to play in a best of 3. I kinda hope they find a way into a first round matchup with TB, to be honest. They're the Yanks cryptonite.
As it stands right now in the AL, the Yanks are a game and a half back from the Twins. That's a pretty important thing here, as the Yanks have been almost unbeatable at home and well, the Red Sox away from home (.363 win % on the road for NYY, sox win % .360 on the year). If the Yanks could sneak ahead of them into the 4 slot, that would be best. The first round is played solely in the higher seed's ballpark before the winners move onto the bubbles and render seeding and home field entirely useless.
The NL is where it is totally bonkers. The Dodgers were the first team to clinch. No surprise there and they seem to have a stranglehold on that 1 spot. StL, Milwaukee, and Colorado are all within 2 games in the L column of the 8 seed. The 6 seed is under .500. The Marlins are the 5 seed somehow. Beyond a clear top 4, it is an absolute mess.
This might actually be a fun playoff season.