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Thread: The Tobin Bridge Is 1,386 Miles From My House

  1. #16
    TalkSox Ascended Master mvp 78's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by notin View Post
    I was going to ask you why...
    If the Yankees play 162 games, 19 against the Sox and 143 against everyone else:

    They could possibly go 143 - 0 against every other team and it not affect the Sox.

    The Sox could go 143 - 0 against every other team and it not affect the Yankees.

    There are 19 games against each other. If both teams went 143 - 0 otherwise, they would win the division by going 153 - 9.

    Now, we are 4 games into the season. The O's have the best record at 3 - 1. The Sox are at 1 - 3.

    If the Sox and O's win every game against other opponents going forward, the O's will be 145 - 1 and the Sox will be 143 - 3 (16 games left to play against each other). Sox need to win 10 games from the O's, so they would have to get to 153 - 9 to win the division. So the magic number is 152?
    Quote Originally Posted by moonslav59 View Post
    ( I won't say the "C word.")

  2. #17
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    Quote Originally Posted by mvp 78 View Post
    If the Yankees play 162 games, 19 against the Sox and 143 against everyone else:

    They could possibly go 143 - 0 against every other team and it not affect the Sox.

    The Sox could go 143 - 0 against every other team and it not affect the Yankees.

    There are 19 games against each other. If both teams went 143 - 0 otherwise, they would win the division by going 153 - 9.

    Now, we are 4 games into the season. The O's have the best record at 3 - 1. The Sox are at 1 - 3.

    If the Sox and O's win every game against other opponents going forward, the O's will be 145 - 1 and the Sox will be 143 - 3 (16 games left to play against each other). Sox need to win 10 games from the O's, so they would have to get to 153 - 9 to win the division. So the magic number is 152?

    You're overthinking it.

    It's games to be played minus games ahead of nearest opponent plus one.

    The Sox have 158 games to be played. Typically it is applied to a team in the lead and not a last place team, but the Sox "lead" is "minus 2 games", on Balitmore and Toronto. So the real Magic Number is 161. 158 - (-2) +1.

    But for catching the Evil Empire, the Magic Number is actually 158 - (-1) + 1 or 160. In both cases, it's larger than the games to be played because the Sox need other teams to lose games (which obviously will happen for a bunch of reasons, the most prominent one being reality.)

    All those scenarios about other teams are all built in to the formula, or will be as they affect the lead portion of the formula. Also, most important, Magic Numbers calculated on April 6th for 1-3 teams are done for comedic purposes only...

  3. #18
    Leyenda Thunder's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by mvp 78 View Post
    I like them. This is my f***ing city
    Quote Originally Posted by mvp 78 View Post
    I can't disagree with you

  4. #19
    TalkSox Ascended Master mvp 78's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by notin View Post
    You're overthinking it.

    It's games to be played minus games ahead of nearest opponent plus one.

    The Sox have 158 games to be played. Typically it is applied to a team in the lead and not a last place team, but the Sox "lead" is "minus 2 games", on Balitmore and Toronto. So the real Magic Number is 161. 158 - (-2) +1.

    But for catching the Evil Empire, the Magic Number is actually 158 - (-1) + 1 or 160. In both cases, it's larger than the games to be played because the Sox need other teams to lose games (which obviously will happen for a bunch of reasons, the most prominent one being reality.)

    All those scenarios about other teams are all built in to the formula, or will be as they affect the lead portion of the formula. Also, most important, Magic Numbers calculated on April 6th for 1-3 teams are done for comedic purposes only...
    The magic number is fuzzy math then. I don't believe in that witchcraft.
    Quote Originally Posted by moonslav59 View Post
    ( I won't say the "C word.")

  5. #20
    TalkSox Ascended Master mvp 78's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Thunder View Post
    I like them. This is my f***ing city
    That's the wrong jersey.

    For the marathon tie in, it's the wrong color blue.
    Quote Originally Posted by moonslav59 View Post
    ( I won't say the "C word.")

  6. #21
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    Quote Originally Posted by mvp 78 View Post
    The magic number is fuzzy math then. I don't believe in that witchcraft.
    I thought fuzzy math witchcraft was required to be an accountant...

  7. #22
    Leyenda Thunder's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by notin View Post
    I thought fuzzy math witchcraft was required to be an accountant...
    No. That's what actuaries do.
    Quote Originally Posted by mvp 78 View Post
    I can't disagree with you

  8. #23
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    Quote Originally Posted by Thunder View Post
    No. That's what actuaries do.
    That's fair...

  9. #24
    TalkSox Ascended Master mvp 78's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by notin View Post
    I thought fuzzy math witchcraft was required to be an accountant...
    I'm going to just ignore this post as it is immaterial.
    Quote Originally Posted by moonslav59 View Post
    ( I won't say the "C word.")

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