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Thread: Red Sox trade Hunter Renfroe in trade involving Jackie Bradley Jr

  1. #1231
    Deity moonslav59's Avatar
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    Remember when many of us were considering a QO for Eovaldi?
    When you say it's gonna happen now
    When exactly do you mean?

  2. #1232
    Deity Bellhorn04's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by moonslav59 View Post
    Remember when many of us were considering a QO for Eovaldi?
    If Wacha was still on the shelf, there'd be little support for a QO for him either.
    Championships since purchase by John Henry group: Red Sox 4 Yankees 1

    The Red Sox are 8-1 in their last 9 postseason games against the Yankees.

  3. #1233
    Deity moonslav59's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bellhorn04 View Post
    If Wacha was still on the shelf, there'd be little support for a QO for him either.
    ..or, if he'd have comeback and looked shaky, like Nate did.
    When you say it's gonna happen now
    When exactly do you mean?

  4. #1234
    Deity Bellhorn04's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by moonslav59 View Post
    ..or, if he'd have comeback and looked shaky, like Nate did.
    Yep. With pitchers of their age and erratic histories, the Recency Effect is off the charts.
    Championships since purchase by John Henry group: Red Sox 4 Yankees 1

    The Red Sox are 8-1 in their last 9 postseason games against the Yankees.

  5. #1235
    Deity Bellhorn04's Avatar
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    And IF Nate comes back and looks good in a few starts, a QO for him might came back into the conversation.
    Championships since purchase by John Henry group: Red Sox 4 Yankees 1

    The Red Sox are 8-1 in their last 9 postseason games against the Yankees.

  6. #1236
    Deity moonslav59's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bellhorn04 View Post
    And IF Nate comes back and looks good in a few starts, a QO for him might came back into the conversation.
    I seriously doubt it, although both Nate and Wacha have had injury issues for much of their careers.

    It's more likely neither get a QO.
    When you say it's gonna happen now
    When exactly do you mean?

  7. #1237
    Deity moonslav59's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bellhorn04 View Post
    Yep. With pitchers of their age and erratic histories, the Recency Effect is off the charts.
    Like Carlos Rodon, who will likely opt out.

    A QO offer is not a bad idea for Wacha.
    When you say it's gonna happen now
    When exactly do you mean?

  8. #1238
    Quote Originally Posted by Bellhorn04 View Post
    And IF Nate comes back and looks good in a few starts, a QO for him might came back into the conversation.
    The thing about giving out QO's is even if it inflates the payroll it makes it very easy to reset the following year. Looking at a Devers extension the year after that might hold a lot of value.

  9. #1239
    Quote Originally Posted by moonslav59 View Post
    I seriously doubt it, although both Nate and Wacha have had injury issues for much of their careers.

    It's more likely neither get a QO.
    At this point, what pitcher doesn't have some kind of injury history? It feels like everyone either has an injury or they're healthy and then you sign them and they get injured. Which is weird given how starting pitchers are throwing less innings now a days. I miss the days of old where work horses went 240 innings plus on the regular and pitched full careers.

  10. #1240
    I doubt we ever see someone pitch 332 innings and start 39 games like Nolan Ryan did back in the day. You have to think some of these guys are capable of it (not that, maybe 250/32) for many seasons but the new norm is to baby pitchers. And it doesn't seem to be resulting in a reduction of injuries at all. I could be wrong here.

  11. #1241
    Deity Bellhorn04's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by A Red Sox fan named Hugh View Post
    I doubt we ever see someone pitch 332 innings and start 39 games like Nolan Ryan did back in the day. You have to think some of these guys are capable of it (not that, maybe 250/32) for many seasons but the new norm is to baby pitchers. And it doesn't seem to be resulting in a reduction of injuries at all. I could be wrong here.
    In my opinion Ryan was just a freak of nature. The closest you will find in the current generation is Verlander, and even he finally needed TJS.

    I still think of Billy Martin and his 1980 Oakland A's starting rotation. Billy rode them hard, and they all ended up having short careers.

    Today's pitchers are throwing harder than ever and probably spinning the ball harder than ever too. The toll on their arms is self-evident. You're right that the babying doesn't seem to help. Not sure anything would.
    Championships since purchase by John Henry group: Red Sox 4 Yankees 1

    The Red Sox are 8-1 in their last 9 postseason games against the Yankees.

  12. #1242
    Deity moonslav59's Avatar
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    Verlander is the only pitcher to crack 250 IP since 2008 (Sabathia), and he only did it once at 251 IP in 2011.

    Since 2000:
    266 Roy Halladay '03
    260 Randy Johnson '02
    259 Curt Schilling '02
    257 Curt Schilling '01

    The most since 2015:
    233 Kershaw '15
    232 Keuchel '15
    230 Price '16 BOS
    229 Arrieta '15
    228 Scherzer '15 & '16
    228 Verlander '16
    227 Sale '16 CWS
    227 Bumgarner '16
    223 Verlander '19 MOST since 2016!

    Zach Wheeler led MLB in IP with 213 in 2021
    When you say it's gonna happen now
    When exactly do you mean?

  13. #1243
    Quote Originally Posted by Bellhorn04 View Post
    In my opinion Ryan was just a freak of nature. The closest you will find in the current generation is Verlander, and even he finally needed TJS.

    I still think of Billy Martin and his 1980 Oakland A's starting rotation. Billy rode them hard, and they all ended up having short careers.

    Today's pitchers are throwing harder than ever and probably spinning the ball harder than ever too. The toll on their arms is self-evident. You're right that the babying doesn't seem to help. Not sure anything would.
    Oh absoltely, he's the extreme example. But overall, the days of the 200 inning pitcher are over.

  14. #1244
    Deity moonslav59's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by A Red Sox fan named Hugh View Post
    Oh absoltely, he's the extreme example. But overall, the days of the 200 inning pitcher are over.
    Yes, it looks like maybe 1-3 a year will just barely go over 200 IP.

    It's been a steady decline for decades.
    When you say it's gonna happen now
    When exactly do you mean?

  15. #1245
    Deity moonslav59's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by moonslav59 View Post
    Agreed, but JBJ has a $12M option for 2023 with an absurd $8M buyout. I know 2023 is not "long term" either, but with these tight budgets we've been seeing, this is a head-scratcher.
    The "head scratcher" comment took on a life of it's own- back in the day....
    When you say it's gonna happen now
    When exactly do you mean?

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