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Thread: A Realistic View at 2022: Part II

  1. #2626
    Deity moonslav59's Avatar
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    Before tonight's game we are at the 1/3 mark of the season (54 games.)

    We are barely in the 6th playoff slot.

    Our projected stats look like this:

    .341 36 91 Devers (105 XBHs)
    .353 15 69 JD
    .323 18 78 Bogey
    .230 27 120 Story
    .282 6 63 Vaz
    .247 9 54 Cordero
    .246 9 84 Dugo
    .227 3 60 JBJ
    .210 12 69 Kike
    .179 9 30 Dalbec

    15-12 Pivetta 3.50 (185 IP)
    9-3 Wacha 2.43 (122 IP)
    9-6 Eovaldi 3.41 (190 IP)
    6-3 Whitlock 3.02 (132 IP)
    9-9 Houck 3.72 (116 IP)
    6-9 R Hill 4.40 (135 IP)
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  2. #2627
    Deity moonslav59's Avatar
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    Team Record in Starts

    6-2 Wacha
    5-5 Hill
    4-4 Whitlock
    2-2 Houck
    5-6 Pivetta
    5-6 Eovaldi
    0-1 Davis (pen Game)
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  3. #2628
    Legend vegasbob's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by moonslav59 View Post
    Team Record in Starts

    6-2 Wacha
    5-5 Hill
    4-4 Whitlock
    2-2 Houck
    5-6 Pivetta
    5-6 Eovaldi
    0-1 Davis (pen Game)
    Pitching W-Ls are a high variable stat , but other than Wacha, looks like a team right around .500

  4. #2629
    Deity moonslav59's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by vegasbob View Post
    Pitching W-Ls are a high variable stat , but other than Wacha, looks like a team right around .500
    7-2 with Wacha, now.

    Little run support, early, and some pen damage, later really hurt some team W-L records, here.
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  5. #2630
    Deity moonslav59's Avatar
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    Looks like a good chance 4 ALE teams make the playoffs. That will be a first.

    The east could easily end up with 4 of the top 5 records in the AL with Baltimore ending up with the best last place record in the AL.
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  6. #2631
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    Quote Originally Posted by vegasbob View Post
    Pitching W-Ls are a high variable stat , but other than Wacha, looks like a team right around .500
    Maybe because the team is right around .500?

  7. #2632
    Deity moonslav59's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by notin View Post
    Maybe because the team is right around .500?
    It's kind of unique that every starter, except Wacha has a team W-L record at .500 or 1 game below .500. Nobody is more than 1 game below .500. None are 1 game or more above .500, except Wacha, who is +5.
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  8. #2633
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    The Sox hitting is mostly back: they are 5th in MLB in runs scored and 6th in team OPS.

    The rotation right now is clicking as much as the bullpen is not clicking. I mean it is night and day. The cumulative WAR's of the five starters is +5.3, and the cumulative WAR of the bullpen is +0.6.

    Nevertheless, the bullpen has not prevented the Sox from going 17 and 7 in their most recent 24 games--against the Rangers, Astros, Mariners, White Sox, Orioles, Reds, A's, and Angels.

    So that's good.

    The downside is that, as moonslav and others have warned us, the Sox are very unlikely to be able to retain through the end of this season the hitting prowess of their irreplaceable core of JDM, Bogey, and Devers.

    To me that's the only issue worth discussing. Getting the world's greatest closer, for example, only helps if the lineup is scoring runs and getting leads. Story, I hasten to add, is tied for 7th in MLB in rbi's precisely because he follows Raffie, Bogey, and JDM in the lineup.

  9. #2634
    Deity moonslav59's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Maxbialystock View Post
    The Sox hitting is mostly back: they are 5th in MLB in runs scored and 6th in team OPS.

    The rotation right now is clicking as much as the bullpen is not clicking. I mean it is night and day. The cumulative WAR's of the five starters is +5.3, and the cumulative WAR of the bullpen is +0.6.

    Nevertheless, the bullpen has not prevented the Sox from going 17 and 7 in their most recent 24 games--against the Rangers, Astros, Mariners, White Sox, Orioles, Reds, A's, and Angels.

    So that's good.

    The downside is that, as moonslav and others have warned us, the Sox are very unlikely to be able to retain through the end of this season the hitting prowess of their irreplaceable core of JDM, Bogey, and Devers.

    To me that's the only issue worth discussing. Getting the world's greatest closer, for example, only helps if the lineup is scoring runs and getting leads. Story, I hasten to add, is tied for 7th in MLB in rbi's precisely because he follows Raffie, Bogey, and JDM in the lineup.
    I'm thinking our big 3 is now a big 4 (Story added), but the entire supporting players are doing very well in their last 30-60 PAs. This is not likely to continue, but we don't really need them all doing well, at the same time. We just can't handle them all taking a month or 6 weeks off, all at the same time, again.
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  10. #2635
    Legend vegasbob's Avatar
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    Having reached the .500 mark, keep in mind it took a complete game shutout by Wacha to stay there. The implication is the Sox offense still seems to be a ton of runs (double digits) or very few (0,1,2) . Inconsistent.

    Also the 17-7 run to get them out of the April-May hole they dug has occurred against no ALE team , except Orioles, who they went 2-3 against, and the others in this stretch are not likely playoff teams.

    Not knocking the progress, just tightening the seatbelt of excitement until that July run through the AL East leaders

  11. #2636
    Quote Originally Posted by vegasbob View Post
    Having reached the .500 mark, keep in mind it took a complete game shutout by Wacha to stay there. The implication is the Sox offense still seems to be a ton of runs (double digits) or very few (0,1,2) . Inconsistent.

    Also the 17-7 run to get them out of the April-May hole they dug has occurred against no ALE team , except Orioles, who they went 2-3 against, and the others in this stretch are not likely playoff teams.

    Not knocking the progress, just tightening the seatbelt of excitement until that July run through the AL East leaders
    That’s why I said earlier I not planning on going to a postseason parade just yet. A 14 game stretch in early July against NY, and Tampa, and then 3 games against Toronto, so let’s see how things look after that, and that then will be close to the trading deadline.

  12. #2637
    Deity moonslav59's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by vegasbob View Post
    Having reached the .500 mark, keep in mind it took a complete game shutout by Wacha to stay there. The implication is the Sox offense still seems to be a ton of runs (double digits) or very few (0,1,2) . Inconsistent.

    Also the 17-7 run to get them out of the April-May hole they dug has occurred against no ALE team , except Orioles, who they went 2-3 against, and the others in this stretch are not likely playoff teams.

    Not knocking the progress, just tightening the seatbelt of excitement until that July run through the AL East leaders
    What team scored 4+ runs every game?

    Cetrainly, this team has totally changed their offene from the first 6 weeks to the last 4, but having a few 0, 1 or 2 run games here and there is common among the best offensive teams.
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  13. #2638
    Deity moonslav59's Avatar
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    The TOP RP'ers Money Could Buy This Past Winter

    $58M/4 R Iglesias 4.91 ERA/1.036 WHIP
    $24M/3 Graveman 2.55/1.297
    $16M/1 Jansen 3.80/1.014
    $17M/2 J Kelly 9.53/2.471
    $17M/2 A Loop 4.43/1.230
    $14M/2 Tepera 3.97/1.015
    $14M/2 Melancon 6.87/1.800
    $13M/2 Chafin 2.77/1,231
    $12.3M/4 K-H Kim 3.46/1.284

    I didn't leave anyone off the list getting $12M or more.
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  14. #2639
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    Quote Originally Posted by moonslav59 View Post
    What team scored 4+ runs every game?

    Cetrainly, this team has totally changed their offene from the first 6 weeks to the last 4, but having a few 0, 1 or 2 run games here and there is common among the best offensive teams.

    At some point, some of these complaints do turn into “This team makes 27 outs every game!!

  15. #2640
    Deity moonslav59's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by notin View Post
    At some point, some of these complaints do turn into “This team makes 27 outs every game!!
    How dare they!
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