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Thread: A Realistic View at 2022: Part III

  1. #196
    Deity moonslav59's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by JDavis76 View Post
    Yes, they have the orioles listed at 1%. Just higher than the sox are the indians at 21% and then it jumps to the twinkies at 49%
    So, the last slot teams on the outside looking in, as of now are...

    39% MN
    22% CLE
    21% BOS

    The Rays are in the #6 slot at 61%

    I would not be surprised to see the Sox pass both these teams, by the odds, at some point this season, but then again, I would not be surprised, if we don't.
    Last edited by moonslav59; 05-12-2022 at 06:45 PM.
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  2. #197
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    Quote Originally Posted by moonslav59 View Post
    So, the last slot teams on the outside looking in, as of now are...

    39% MN
    22% CLE
    21% BOS

    The Rays are in the #6 slot at 61%

    I would not be surprised to see the Sox pass both these teams, by the odds, at some point this season, but then again, I would not be surprised, if we don't.
    Fangraphs has the twinkies at 49%, not 39% and the rays at 59%, not 61%.

    https://www.fangraphs.com/standings/playoff-odds

    If my 4+ decades of watching baseball has taught me anything, it's to not be surprised by surprises.

  3. #198
    Deity moonslav59's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by JDavis76 View Post
    Fangraphs has the twinkies at 49%, not 39% and the rays at 59%, not 61%.

    https://www.fangraphs.com/standings/playoff-odds

    If my 4+ decades of watching baseball has taught me anything, it's to not be surprised by surprises.
    I'm looking at make playoff odds:

    https://www.fangraphs.com/standings/playoff-odds
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  4. #199
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    Quote Originally Posted by moonslav59 View Post
    I'm looking at make playoff odds:

    https://www.fangraphs.com/standings/playoff-odds
    My eyes are bad but that looks like the same link, when I refreshed the page on my computer it updated to the odds you posted.

    I guess some games may have just ended that changed the odds.

  5. #200
    Deity moonslav59's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by JDavis76 View Post
    My eyes are bad but that looks like the same link, when I refreshed the page on my computer it updated to the odds you posted.

    I guess some games may have just ended that changed the odds.
    I think it's the second time I ever visited this page. Strange a team like MN can drop 10% in a day.
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  6. #201
    Despite heightened expectations, the postseason odds for the floundering Seattle Mariners are down to 16 percent as the M's embark on a tough 10-game road trip against two good teams and the Boston Red Sox.

  7. #202
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    Quote Originally Posted by moonslav59 View Post
    I think it's the second time I ever visited this page. Strange a team like MN can drop 10% in a day.
    They lost 2 to houston today

  8. #203
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    With both teams winning tonight with the sox idle, the Yanks and the orioles managed to put more distance between themselves and the sox.

  9. #204
    The only MLB teams further away from playoff spots than the 11-20 Red Sox (12 games behind) are the 9-23 Tigers (14.5 games behind) and 8-24 Reds (13.5 games behind). Only the Royals (.345), Nationals (.333), Tigers (.281), and Reds (.250) have worse winning percentages than the Red Sox (.355).

    If MLB were like the English Premier League where Liverpool F. C., also owned by Fenway Sports Group, has come close to winning the championship with two matches left in the season (but probably will finish second in the league), then the Red Sox would be close to what’s called the “Relegation Zone” where three teams at the bottom of the EPL's 20-team top division are dropped to a lower division in the following season.

  10. #205
    Deity Bellhorn04's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Key2Delock View Post
    The only MLB teams further away from playoff spots than the 11-20 Red Sox (12 games behind) are the 9-23 Tigers (14.5 games behind) and 8-24 Reds (13.5 games behind). Only the Royals (.345), Nationals (.333), Tigers (.281), and Reds (.250) have worse winning percentages than the Red Sox (.355).
    To be precise, the Red Sox are 5.5 games out of a playoff spot. 12 behind in the division.
    Championships since purchase by John Henry group: Red Sox 4 Yankees 1

    The Red Sox are 8-1 in their last 9 postseason games against the Yankees.

  11. #206
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bellhorn04 View Post
    To be precise, the Red Sox are 5.5 games out of a playoff spot. 12 behind in the division.
    To be precise, there are 12 teams ahead of the sox for 6 playoff spots.

  12. #207
    Deity Bellhorn04's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by JDavis76 View Post
    To be precise, there are 12 teams ahead of the sox for 6 playoff spots.
    Irrelevant at this early juncture.
    Championships since purchase by John Henry group: Red Sox 4 Yankees 1

    The Red Sox are 8-1 in their last 9 postseason games against the Yankees.

  13. #208
    Quote Originally Posted by Bellhorn04 View Post
    To be precise, the Red Sox are 5.5 games out of a playoff spot. 12 behind in the division.
    At present time in the famous words of Tony Mass the Red Sox Blow, and Suck. After 31 games the Red Sox are 9 games under 500. I repeat 9 games under 500. and some are worried about a possible playoff spot. If this team ever gets to just playing 500 ball, which at this point doesn’t look to promising then I’ll start to think about playoffs. Playoffs? Did someone say playoffs? One more time 9 games under 500, and this team has been listless since opening day, and yes there is plenty of blame to go around starting at the top with JH, Bloom, and Cora, and down to the players.

  14. #209
    Deity Bellhorn04's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Old Red View Post
    At present time in the famous words of Tony Mass the Red Sox Blow, and Suck. After 31 games the Red Sox are 9 games under 500. I repeat 9 games under 500. and some are worried about a possible playoff spot. If this team ever gets to just playing 500 ball, which at this point doesn’t look to promising then I’ll start to think about playoffs. Playoffs? Did someone say playoffs? One more time 9 games under 500, and this team has been listless since opening day, and yes there is plenty of blame to go around starting at the top with JH, Bloom, and Cora, and down to the players.
    I could care less what Tony Masshole ever says. He just knows how to state the obvious. It doesn't take much of a baseball mind to figure out that 11-20 ain't good.
    Championships since purchase by John Henry group: Red Sox 4 Yankees 1

    The Red Sox are 8-1 in their last 9 postseason games against the Yankees.

  15. #210
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bellhorn04 View Post
    Irrelevant at this early juncture.
    If so, then so is posting that they are 5.5 games out of a playoff spot.

    How about this then, the red sox are one of six teams currently on pace to lose 100 games or more.

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