I liked the extension, a lot, and not just based on his first half of 2021. The guy was solid for 3-5 years before 2021.
He had a 30 IP rough patch- last 10 in 2021 and first 20 in '22. Almost every RP'er has had rough 30 IP stretches. He's done very well in his last 17 IP, but I'm not totally sold he's turned it around for good.
He may still earn that contract total, when all is said and done.
Sox 4 Ever
From 18-21 (even including his late season skid), he was a guy who generally had a low xBA/xSLG and high K%.
His curveball doesn't have quite the bite it used to have, but he's still getting movement on his FB. His velo is down a tick, but that could also just be from missing a lot of time due to injury. I'm looking to him to be more productive next season after a full offseason. I think he'll be a decent 7th/8th inning guy.
Since coming back from the IL on 8/4:
18.2 IP
18 K
6 BB
16 H
4 ER
302 BABIP (about career norm)
1.18 WHIP
1.93 ERA
2.48 FIP
4.30 xFIP (since he gave up 0 HR)
Since August 11th:
16.1 IP
15 H
3 ER
4 BB
18Ks
1.65 ERA
2.02 FIP
.558 OPS Against
This sample size is getting closer to the 30 IP bad stretch he had.
2017-2020
3.83 ERA
3.30 FIP
1.29 WHIP
13.2 K/9
2.9 K/BB
First 46 games 2021
45 IP
25 H
12 ER
11 BB 69K
2.40 ERA
2.35 FIP
.497 OPS Against
13.8 K/9
6.3 K/BB
Last 14 games of 2021
9.2 IP
16 H
11 ER
9 BB
15 K
10.24 ERA
7.20 FIP
1.095 OPS Against
First 23 games of 2022
19.1 IP
18 H
16 ER
14 BB
14 K
7.45 ERA
5.34 FIP
.759 OPS A
Total end of '21 + '22
29 IP
41 H
27 ER
23 BB
29 K
8.38 ERA
Should Barnes really be judged so harshly over less than 30 IP of horrific pitching?
Sox 4 Ever
I'm not so sure. He has a long history of being a fairly reliable late inning guy a la Mike Timlin. I think it would be foolish to throw out a player everytime there was an injury or a downturn. There are enough commenters now saying "why can't Sox get guys like Daniel Bard" and he was wandering the wilderness for 10 years!
I doubt it. Many pitchers stick around for longer than that, and many never had as good a record as Barnes beforehand.
Diekman (1.49 WHIP) pitched 38 inning for us, this year and was not DFA'd.
Sawamura (1.42) pitched over 50 innings.
Brasier (1.32 in 58 IP) has sucked for years and costs next to nothing.
Roblesd (1.58) almost lasted 26 IP.
In 2021, Andries shit the bed for 37 IP (1.77 WHIP.)
I'm not sure why DHern (1.73 0ver keeps getting the call- over 85 IP!!!
Sox 4 Ever