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Thread: Red Sox: Off Season '23-'24

  1. #1996
    Deity Bellhorn04's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by moonslav59 View Post
    Porcello only had 1 season with an fWAR above 3.0, and that was 2016 at 5.4.
    That year, he had his lowest BB/9 at 1.29 and a pretty low H.9 at 0.93.
    His K rate that year was very close to his career avg (7.63 to 7.65
    Because he faced much fewer batters in 2016, his BB% was his lowest, ever at 3.6%- best in MLB among pitchers with 180+ IP.
    But Porcello had a career bWAR of 18.8 and a career fWAR of 29.6 - 57.4% higher.
    Championships since purchase by John Henry group: Red Sox 4 Yankees 1

    The Red Sox are 8-1 in their last 9 postseason games against the Yankees.

  2. #1997
    Deity moonslav59's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bellhorn04 View Post
    But Porcello had a career bWAR of 18.8 and a career fWAR of 29.6 - 57.4% higher.
    Other aspects of FIP are BB% and HR%.

    Low K pitchers with decent BB and HR rates can have good FIPs.

    Career:
    2.1 BB/9
    1.1 HR/9

    4.06 FIP
    4.40 ERA

    It is rare that a 6.7 K/9 pitcher has such a high fWAR, but also IP is a major factor. The guy had close to 2100 IP over his 12 year career. That is 7th most in that period.
    When you say it's gonna happen now
    When exactly do you mean?

  3. #1998
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    Quote Originally Posted by mvp 78 View Post
    “Someday” doing a lot of heavy lifting there.
    Why wait? Fans of shoddy corner infield defense?

  4. #1999
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    Quote Originally Posted by mvp 78 View Post
    Let's collect more players that can't earn their salary!
    That is the main purpose of free agency…

  5. #2000
    TalkSox Ascended Master mvp 78's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by notin View Post
    Why wait? Fans of shoddy corner infield defense?
    Sacrifice defense for overall better players. Also, Casas will be much better at 1b this year.
    Quote Originally Posted by moonslav59 View Post
    ( I won't say the "C word.")

  6. #2001
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    Quote Originally Posted by mvp 78 View Post
    Sacrifice defense for overall better players. Also, Casas will be much better at 1b this year.
    If I was a betting man I’d be on the Casas will improve on defense team.

  7. #2002
    Deity moonslav59's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hugh2 View Post
    If I was a betting man I’d be on the Casas will improve on defense team.
    He works and studies so hard on hitting, I hope he dedicates himself to improving on D. I think he will.

    (I thought Dalbec would, too, so what do I know?)

    That was an awful corner IF defense, this year. When Kike was at SS and Arroyo at 2B, OMG!
    When you say it's gonna happen now
    When exactly do you mean?

  8. #2003
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hugh2 View Post
    If I was a betting man I’d be on the Casas will improve on defense team.
    Why do we think players will just improve on defense? If Breslow addressed the pitching staff by saying “Brandon Walter will just have to get better”, who would find that acceptable?

    I think if you expected improvement on any area - hitting, pitching, fielding - fielding is the hardest one to just improve…

  9. #2004
    Deity moonslav59's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by notin View Post
    Why do we think players will just improve on defense? If Breslow addressed the pitching staff by saying “Brandon Walter will just have to get better”, who would find that acceptable?

    I think if you expected improvement on any area - hitting, pitching, fielding - fielding is the hardest one to just improve…
    Duran was more of an outlier than a common occurrence.

    Verdugo was never thought to be a plus RF'er. In fact, it seemed we went out of our way to keep him out of RF, until the Tommy Pham trade. He improved.

    Devers seemed to be improving, then poof!

    It does happen, but I agree, we should not expect it to happen.

    I'd like to hear that Casas is working hard on his D over the winter.
    When you say it's gonna happen now
    When exactly do you mean?

  10. #2005
    Deity Bellhorn04's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by notin View Post
    Why do we think players will just improve on defense? If Breslow addressed the pitching staff by saying “Brandon Walter will just have to get better”, who would find that acceptable?

    I think if you expected improvement on any area - hitting, pitching, fielding - fielding is the hardest one to just improve…
    Offseason = optimism. Next year guys will get better and also won't get injured so much!
    Championships since purchase by John Henry group: Red Sox 4 Yankees 1

    The Red Sox are 8-1 in their last 9 postseason games against the Yankees.

  11. #2006
    Quote Originally Posted by Bellhorn04 View Post
    Offseason = optimism. Next year guys will get better and also won't get injured so much!
    And I'm gonna eat more carrots this winter so my vision improves.

  12. #2007
    CEO of the Casas Fan Club Dipre's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bellhorn04 View Post
    Offseason = optimism. Next year guys will get better and also won't get injured so much!
    Yeah but Casas has a track record of great offense and above average defense in the minors. The best indicator of future performance is past performance, as his offensive breakout indicates. It's not blind optimism, it's common sense to expect defensive improvement.
    WAR is good for something.

  13. #2008
    TalkSox Ascended Master mvp 78's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bellhorn04 View Post
    Offseason = optimism. Next year guys will get better and also won't get injured so much!
    I don't think the expectations are unfounded. Younger players tend to improve. It's not like people are saying that Devers is going to turn into a GG defender. Casas should just be better at 1B. He was much better in the second half defensively.
    Quote Originally Posted by moonslav59 View Post
    ( I won't say the "C word.")

  14. #2009
    Quote Originally Posted by Dipre View Post
    Yeah but Casas has a track record of great offense and above average defense in the minors. The best indicator of future performance is past performance, as his offensive breakout indicates. It's not blind optimism, it's common sense to expect defensive improvement.
    Agreed (unless you're an old guy who needs special protein shakes or blue pills).

  15. #2010
    TalkSox Ascended Master mvp 78's Avatar
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    Important upcoming dates:

    Nov 6: FA can sign with new teams.

    Nov 6: Contract options are due. QO offers are due.

    Nov 7-9: GM meetings.

    Nov 14: Deadline for Rule 5 protection.

    Nov 14: QO decision by player deadline.

    Nov 17: Non-tender deadline.

    Dec 3-6: Winter meetings.

    Dec 5: Draft lottery. Sox have 12%ish chance at lottery pick.

    Dec 6: Rule 5 Draft extravaganza!
    Quote Originally Posted by moonslav59 View Post
    ( I won't say the "C word.")

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