When you say it's gonna happen now
When exactly do you mean?
We are lucky the Rays and Jays keep losing more than us.
We do seem destined to finish near the .500 mark, despite some some surprises we've seen, so far.
I'm enjoying watching this team, more than 2022's and 2023's teams. Maybe having lower expectations is part of it, but we have quite a few players AI like watching play.
I think Brez and Bailey have set us back on the right track, but we had so far to go, maybe .500 is the best we can expect.
There will be no in-season return of Gio, Story or Whitlock, like the hopes we had in season's past of returning player promises. Maybe Casas can give us a mid/late season boost, or someone like Hendriks makes some noise, but to do something special, this year, we will likely need to see big turn-arounds from several players... like...
Grissom
Winckowski
Rafaela (on O)
O'Neill (bust his slump)
McGuire (on O)
Bello
(I probably forgot 1 or 2.)
When you say it's gonna happen now
When exactly do you mean?
Red Sox have had 3 of their starting 5-SP spend significant time on the DL already this year--Bello, Whitlock, Pivetta. Who could have guessed that ?
We are 2 games from the 1/3 season mark. My guess is we go 1 and 1.
When you say it's gonna happen now
When exactly do you mean?
Players doing better than I expected, so far:
.929 Refsnyder (and I've been pretty high on him)
.910 Devers (improving his D, of late.)
.855 Wong (on D and O)
.843 O'Neill (needs to right the ship)
.829 Abreu (better on O and D)
.799 Duran (showing '23 was no fluke)
.733 DHam (Felt he was DFA fodder in March)
.708 McGuire (better on O & D)
Tweeners
Casas & Yoshida (injured)
Rafaela & Romy (Good D/ bad O)
Under performers
1B .596 Smith, .566 Cooper and .377 Dalbec
2B .453 Valdez, .451 Reyes and .314 Grissom
SS Story and his IL stint
Pitcher Pluses
Houck
Crawford
Criswell
Bernardino
Weissert
Slaten
Pitching tweeners
Jansen
Martin
Pivetta, Kelly, Wink, Anderson & Booser
Underperformers
Bello (not bad, but I expected better)
Joely, Campbell, Jacques
Gio & Whitlock and their IL stints.
Really, we have 4-5 major areas that need improvement and consistency:
2B
1B
SS (on O)
4SP/5SP Bello/Pivetta
Last edited by moonslav59; 05-26-2024 at 12:28 AM.
When you say it's gonna happen now
When exactly do you mean?
Going with a lefty opener against the Red Sox 1-4 hitters, which normally include Duran, Abreu and Devers, seems like a very good strategy, unfortunately.
Championships since purchase by John Henry group: Red Sox 4 Yankees 1
The Red Sox are 8-1 in their last 9 postseason games against the Yankees.
It's games like this, we really miss Casas, who kills lefties.
v LHPs in '24
.608 Devers
.602 Duran
.477 Abreu
This would be the time for Cora to schedule a day off for Abreu and maybe one of the other two.
Here is an interesting quirk to Sox splits:
2023-2024 L-R splits by our catchers:
v RHPs
.748 Wong (a RHB)
.647 McGuire (a LHB)
v LHPs
.940 McGuire (a LHB)
.649 Wong (a RHB)
McGuire has a .193 reverse split
Wong has a .099 reverse split
When you say it's gonna happen now
When exactly do you mean?
nobody can say that Breslow is not picking up SP. He just signed another BBB Brad Keller I would guess as a result of the Whitlock injury.
We have a history of picking up SP'ers. Recently, most have been 1 year signings or flyers on scrubs or recently injured pitchers, like Kluber, Paxton, Richards, Wacha and Hill.
In a short time, Brez has added (none on a 1 year deal):
Gio (IL)
Criswell
Anderson (used more in relief)
Fitts (AAA)
Sandlin (A+)
Brad Keller (Kelly optioned to AAA)
When you say it's gonna happen now
When exactly do you mean?
Me neither.
With Gio & Whit out, all year, we need the 5 we have now to stay healthy all year.
That is not very likely, and Keller isd probably a better option than burning out the pen with pen games or letting Chase Anderson go 3-4 innings, assuming he pitches well enough to last even that long.
Our current 5 look pretty good, but regressing to the norm could happen.
As SP'ers only:
1.94 Houck (10GS) .515 OPS Against
2.78 Criswell (7) .665
2.89 Crawford (11) .637
4.04 Bello (8) .714
4.20 Pivetta (6) .734
Note: Wink has 3 GS with 10.2 IP and a 1.69ERA/.620 OPSA
When you say it's gonna happen now
When exactly do you mean?