When you say it's gonna happen now
When exactly do you mean?
Criswell now has a 3.35 FIP, which is still way higher than his 1.65 ERA, but it is going down.
Again, his sample size is very small. Here is a breakdown of some tiny sample sizes:
ERA/FIP
2021+2022 combined
7.71/2.06 (just 4.2 IP)
2023:
7.94/5.99 First 3 games of season (11.1 IP)
2.70/3.80 (16.2 IP in middle of season)
10.80/9.06 Last 2 games (5IP)
2024:
1.65/3.35 (16.1 IP)
Career:
4.67/4.46 (significantly affected by the two vert tiny sample sizes of a and 3 games at the start and end to the 2023 season.)
Of course, all pitchers would see their numbers greatly improve by removing their orst stretches, but it seems to me, the outlier might be those two tiny sample sizes, and maybe this guy might be pretty good.
"MIGHT." I'm not predicting greatness, but I think the door is still open for him to show he's pretty damn good.
Yes, his minor league numbers seem to point to the opposite (4.33 ERA in minors.)
Maybe Bailey worked some voodoo magic on him, but he's looked pretty good, to me.
When you say it's gonna happen now
When exactly do you mean?